Santos Laguna vs Juárez: Liga MX Match Preview, Predictions & Betting Analysis
Match: Santos Laguna vs Juárez (Liga MX)
Venue: Estadio Nuevo Corona
Kick-off: 08:00, Monday 14 September 2026
Published: 14:27, 12 September 2026 (Last updated: 14 September, 07:00)
Match Overview
Santos Laguna host Juárez at Estadio Nuevo Corona in a Liga MX fixture where the home side enter as betting favourites. Renato Paiva’s Santos Laguna aim to arrest a poor run of form, while Juárez arrive on a seven-match losing streak. Our analysts back Santos Laguna to win at odds of 2.05, citing Juárez’s dreadful recent form and Santos’ historical dominance at this venue.
Recent Form & Team News
Santos Laguna
Santos Laguna were beaten 1-0 by Cruz Azul at Estadio Banorte in their last outing. They managed just 38% possession and two shots on target. Over their last 10 league games, Santos have recorded 1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 2.6 shots on target and 9.0 total attempts per match. They average 50.4% possession and 6.3 corners per game, while conceding 1.5 goals from 6.0 opposition shots on target.
Juárez
Juárez have suffered seven consecutive defeats, most recently a 2-0 home loss to Pachuca at Estadio Benito Juarez where they registered one shot on goal and 52% possession. Across their last 10 league matches, Juárez have 1 victory and 9 defeats, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.2 shots on target and 7.1 attempts. Pedro Caixinha’s side average 43.2% possession, 3.1 corners for and 6.3 corners against, conceding 2.9 goals from 15.5 opposition attempts and 6.6 shots on target.
Head-to-Head Record
Juárez are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Santos Laguna, the most recent a 2-2 draw at Estadio Nuevo Corona. Over the past 10 H2H matches, Juárez hold five wins, two draws and three Santos victories. However, the venue tells a different story: Santos have won five of the last seven H2H clashes at Estadio Nuevo Corona, with one draw and one Juárez win.
Key Players to Watch
Santos Laguna
- Lucas Di Yorio – Top scorer with 2 goals
- Ezequiel Bullaude – 1 goal, team-leading 3 assists
- Eduardo Aguirre, Emmanuel Echeverria, Aldo Lopez – 1 goal each
Juárez
- Oscar Estupinan – Leading scorer with 3 goals
- Ettson Ayon – 2 goals
- Jose Luis Rodriguez – 1 goal, team-leading 3 assists
Confirmed Lineups
Santos Laguna (3-4-3)
GK: Carlos Acevedo
Defenders: Franco Pardo, Felipe Sanchez, Efrain Orona
Midfielders: Mauricio Cuevas, Facundo Caseres, Fran Villalba, Diego Gonzalez
Forwards: Kevin Palacios, Ezequiel Bullaude, Eduardo Aguirre
Substitutes: Jose Abella, Javier Guemez, Salvador Mariscal, Emmanuel Echeverria, Esteban Lozano, Ramiro Sordo, J. Perez Sanchez, Tahiel Jimenez, Hector Holguin, Luis Gomez
Juárez (4-2-3-1)
GK: Sebastian Jurado Roca
Defenders: Francisco Nevarez, Jesus Murillo, Gilberto Sepulveda, Manuel Mayorga
Midfielders: Rodrigo Dourado, Monchu, Denzell Garcia, Jairo Torres
Forward: Jose Luis Rodriguez (supporting Oscar Estupinan)
Substitutes: Raymundo Fulgencio, Guilherme Castilho, Madson, Eder Lopez, Juan Sigala, Luca Martinez Dupuy, Javier Aquino, Ricardinho, Oscar Ortega, Guillermo Ruiz
Main Match Prediction: Santos Laguna to Win @ 2.05
Our analysts recommend backing Santos Laguna to win at 2.05. Key statistical pillars supporting this selection:
- Juárez have lost their last 7 matches
- Juárez have lost 9 of their last 10 matches
- Juárez have lost 13 of their last 20 matches
Bookmakers imply a 48.8% win probability for Santos at these odds, but our models assess the true probability between 55-60%, identifying clear value. For those seeking enhanced returns, a Bet Builder combining a Santos win with additional selections (corners, player props, etc.) can increase odds.
Player Prop Picks
José Luis Rodríguez (Juárez) – 1+ Shot on Target @ 2.85
Rodríguez has been Juárez’s primary creative outlet with 3 assists in 10 games. At 2.85, the odds on him registering at least one shot on target represent strong appeal.
Ramiro Sordo (Santos) – Anytime Goalscorer @ 3.30
Sordo, listed among the substitutes, offers attractive value at 3.30 to score anytime. His inclusion in the squad and attacking profile make this a speculative but worthwhile play.
Corners Prediction: Over 10.5 Total Corners @ 1.91
The over 10.5 total corners line has landed in five consecutive Santos matches. Juárez away games average 11.30 corners over their last 10 road fixtures (Santos home average: 10.10; Juárez away average: 11.30). The 1.91 on offer for over 10.5 total corners looks well-priced.
| Total | For | Against | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (Overall) | 11.80 | 6.30 | 5.50 |
| Santos (Home) | 10.10 | 5.40 | 4.70 |
| Santos (Away) | 10.50 | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| Juárez (Overall) | 9.40 | 3.10 | 6.30 |
| Juárez (Home) | 9.00 | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| Juárez (Away) | 11.30 | 4.00 | 7.30 |
Odds Breakdown (Time of Publication)
- Full-Time Result: Santos 2.04 | Draw 3.15 | Juárez 3.15
- Asian Handicap: Santos -0.25 @ 1.79 (half stake refunded on draw)
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 goals favoured
- Both Teams to Score (Yes): 1.48
- First Goalscorer: Lucas Di Yorio 5.20 | Anytime 2.45
Odds captured at 14:27, 12 September 2026. Live markets update regularly and may differ.
Estadio Nuevo Corona – Venue Trends
Santos have not won in three straight home matches, posting a W2-D3-L5 record over their last 10 at Estadio Nuevo Corona (1.00 goals for, 1.10 against per game). Juárez have lost five consecutive away games, with a W1-D2-L7 record in their last 10 on the road (0.90 goals for, 2.60 against).
| Team | W-D-L | Avg Goals | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS Yes | BTTS No |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos (Home) | 2-3-5 | 2.10 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Juárez (Away) | 1-2-7 | 3.50 | 0.90 | 2.60 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses | G = Avg Total Goals | GF = Goals For | GA = Goals Against | O2.5/U2.5 = Over/Under 2.5 Goals | B-Y/B-No = Both Teams to Score Yes/No
Expert Analysis & Methodology
This preview is authored by Diego Sánchez, Liga MX Analyst. Our football previews are produced by a specialised team of analysts, former odds compilers and sports journalists. Picks are research-driven and reviewed for accuracy and editorial consistency under the oversight of our Football Editorial Betting Panel and Editor-in-Chief.
Methodology: Our Liga MX analysis blends squad rotation, home altitude advantage and card/suspension trends with odds movement across both Apertura and Clausura tournaments. We use metrics such as xG, xT and defensive efficiency indicators to assess true team strength and identify value in Mexican top-flight football.
Transparency: This preview was last updated on 14 September at 07:00 to reflect the latest team news, injury reports, confirmed lineups, advanced performance metrics and market movement. Historical performance for our main match predictions is tracked and updated regularly.
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