Key Highlights: Binance Research identified a -0.62 negative correlation between six-month changes in the global monetary policy diffusion index and Bitcoin’s six-month returns since 2021. Historical market cycles indicate that Bitcoin often bottoms and recovers before major G10 central banks officially start cutting interest rates. While global monetary easing has not fully materialized, a slowdown ...
Key Highlights: Binance Research identifies a negative 0.62 correlation between changes in the central bank diffusion index and Bitcoin’s six-month returns since 2021, revealing that slowing tightening momentum historically benefits BTC. While an upcoming Federal Reserve policy decision and elevated Treasury yields near 5% present near-term risks, peak tightening momentum has previously marked cyclical turnarounds ...
Key Highlights Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee signaled openness to rate cuts if inflation meaningfully decelerates toward the 2% target, while emphasizing the need for decisive action against price pressures. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed confidence in Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh and noted President Donald Trump shares that confidence, alongside an expansion of the ...