- In view of a US recession risk of 40%, Bitcoin’s volatility makes many people think again as a safe haven about its assumed property.
- After years of prayer mill -like repetition of this property, Bitcoin could soon have to prove.
Market analyst Nic Puckrin notes that an recession in the United States is not mandatory, but the increasing probability is increasingly worried – CNF reported. He also emphasizes that political measures such as the reduction of jobs at the federal level and the reduction of government expenditure promote economic downturn.
The latest forecasts indicate a 40 percent probability of a US recession this year, which is heated by deliberately brought about trading voltages and macroeconomic uncertainty. As mentioned in an investing.com tweet, the growing probability of a recession could have profound effects on all cryptoma markets.
*U.S. RECESSION RISK AT 40%, WARNS J.P. MORGAN’S CHIEF ECONOMIST https://t.co/FhilbptIRj
— Investing.com (@Investingcom) March 12, 2025
The new tariffs of the US government have already disturbed the financial markets, including the cryptoma markets.
Bitcoin, which is also referred to by his supporters as a risk system, lost $ 109,000 in January in January and – one argument for worry about a trade war.
Common decline: US economy and dollar course
The US dollar index (DXY) fell clearly in March what many investors prompted to switch their capital into the EU market in search of more stability. This shows the interweaving of the global financial world and the sensitive balancing act that investors perform in critical times.
Bitcoin correlation with traditional markets
While Bitcoin is often seen as a security in the event of economic instability – what the term “digital gold” brought in – his latest movements indicate that he cannot avoid the acting macroeconomic forces, whatever it can be called.
The big question remains: Can Bitcoin disconnect from traditional market behavior, or will he continue to move proportionally with the global economic mood?
Bitcoin in an insecure global economy
As CNF reported, Bitcoin had a modest increase of 3%, while investors were waiting for the last official US economic data. Since the risk of a recession continues to exist, it is discussed whether Bitcoin can really act as a safe harbor in the event of an economic stress.
When writing this article, Bitcoin is traded at $ 82,226.04, after a 24-hour volume decline of 1.22% and a weekly decline of 5.69%. This shows the persistent volatility and underlines the need to diversify the investor portfolios.
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