- The SEC’s XRP ETF decision and the interest rate of the US Federal Reserve can now lead to a long-awaited massive XRP course jump.
- The accumulation by whales, which is used at $ 1.90, signals growing trust in the XRP market indicators.
XRP, which for a long time was regularly burdened by a declining Juni balance in June, could be short of a crucial turn. Historically, June was unfavorable for the asset and has brought an average return of -8.49 %in the past eleven years. However, the changing market conditions and three important developments create a more optimistic picture for June 2025.
Analysts now see an ETF decision, monetary policy changes and accumulation patterns as potential catalysts for an upheaval.
At the time of the creation of this article, XRP is currently $ 2.16 and has dropped by about 3 % in the last 24 hours.
XRP-ETF decision was the talent signal
The hour of the truth for XRP could come on June 17 if the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will decide on the Spot XRP ETF by Franklin Templeton. If it is approved, institutional and private investors can access XRP via conventional brokerage platforms, which means that there is no need for crypto wallets. Analysts say this could bring in a lot of capital.
The crypto strategist Cekky Crypto said that The ETF permit like the Bitcoin ETF in early 2024. He said that the Bitcoin ETF enabled a quick increase of over $ 100,000, especially because of the better accessibility for private and institutional buyers. He noted that a similar setup for XRP is formed when the regulatory approval takes place. „This could be the beginning of a structural shift in the way investors see XRP„,he said.
Fed decision and whale activity ensure optimism
In addition to the ETF decision, the meeting of the Offenmarkt Committee of the US Federal Reserve from June 17th to 18th will also have a major impact on the market. The speculation increases that the Fed could reduce interest rates for the first time in months, possibly 25 basis points. An interest rate reduction would be Dovish and historically means increased investments in risk systems such as old coins and tech shares.
Cekky said that a relaxed monetary policy usually means a broad rally for digital assets. He said that XRP could experience another interest under such macroeconomic conditions and referred to the past:
„In the past, interest reductions have repeatedly triggered capital inflows into cryptoma markets.“
The Onchain data show another positive sign: Buy XRP large investors from a price of $ 1.90. This is a remarkable signal that institutional actors position themselves in advance. Cekky said that there are risks (ETF delay or unexpectedly Hawkish Fed), but the risk yield ratio is strong in favor of the bulls.
Cekky’s cumulation area between $ 1.90 and $ 2.10 shows strategic planning. He believes that under the right conditions, XRP could have a price increase to five times its current value.
While June is historically a loss month for XRP, the coordination of regulatory, macroeconomic and onchain developments can mark a rare turning point. If a dynamic builds up around these events, June 25 will be remembered as the month in which XRP defied its seasonal weakness and definitely started the new upward trend after the completely unnecessary SEC process.
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