
With HIP‑4, Hyperliquid introduces so-called outcome contracts. These are fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed price band and work without leverage or liquidations.
This distinguishes them from classic perpetual contracts and opens up new use cases such as prediction markets or option-like products.
Settlement takes place via the native stablecoin USDH, which is intended to enable stable settlement processes. The feature is currently on testnet, but is already being evaluated as a significant addition to the HyperCore engine.
The announcement of the update led to an immediate price increase of up to ten percent, pushing HYPE to its highest level in over a year. The upgrade is interpreted as a signal that Hyperliquid is consistently expanding its derivatives system and at the same time positioning itself in a new segment that has so far been dominated by services such as Polymarket.
Growing activity through previous upgrades such as HIP-3 and the introduction of a new, lower-risk derivatives primitive reinforce the impression of a dynamically growing ecosystem.
HIP‑4 opens up new strategic opportunities for traders. Outcome-based markets allow calculable risks because profits and losses are clearly limited. This makes these markets attractive to those seeking exposure to events or limited price movements without the risk of liquidation.

At the same time, the integration of Prediction markets attract additional liquidity and strengthen Hyperliquid as an “all-in-one derivatives platform”. If the model is successful on the mainnet, the HYPE token should have solid growth in the long term.
Despite the current strong price increase, it remains unclear whether the new product class will achieve sufficient user acceptance and liquidity. Outcome markets are untested and their success depends not on interest but on real demand.
There is also a risk that the current price increase is more of a short-term reaction to the announcement than a sustainable trend. It also remains to be seen how the new structure will behave in volatile market phases and whether USDH-based settlements will deliver the expected stability.
Traders should therefore keep both the potential and the uncertainties in mind.
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