Crypto.com to Launch AI Prediction Contracts Based on Workplace and Consumer Trends
Crypto.com will introduce prediction contracts allowing users to forecast how quickly artificial intelligence is changing workplaces, consumer behaviour and major industries.
More than 20 contracts are expected to begin rolling out in September. Unlike prediction markets linked to elections or sporting events, these contracts will be settled using surveys and company disclosures that measure how people and businesses are adopting AI.
Users will trade on future AI adoption trends
Crypto.com and PYMNTS have agreed to an exclusive two-year partnership covering the new products, according to their announcement.
The contracts will trade through OG Prediction Markets, an exchange and clearinghouse regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Crypto.com and other partners will provide access to the markets.
The initial group of contracts will focus on consumer behaviour, workplace changes, corporate AI adoption, healthcare, retail and financial services. Around 25 additional contracts are expected to be added each quarter.
Although the individual questions have not yet been published, a contract could ask whether AI use among American workers will exceed a specified level in an upcoming survey.
Participants would trade based on their expectations for the survey results, with the outcome determining which contracts pay out. Users will not be betting directly on whether AI succeeds or fails. Instead, they will be forecasting what future research shows about AI adoption and its economic effects.
PYMNTS data will determine contract outcomes
The markets will rely exclusively on measurements produced by PYMNTS Intelligence.
PYMNTS surveys 4,000 US adults each month about their use of AI in areas including work, education, shopping and healthcare.
A separate quarterly survey of 500 US companies examines how businesses use AI agents and automation. The research tracks whether productivity has improved and how employment and software requirements have changed.
PYMNTS will also review company filings, earnings materials and public statements for evidence of AI investment, revenue changes and workforce effects.
The organization has collected nearly 30 months of historical data, which will provide a baseline for measuring future changes in AI adoption and its impact across the economy.
