XRP is holding near $1.41, closing out August with a strong 35% gain. The token’s latest price momentum highlights a lesser-known trend: despite the common belief that early autumn is historically weak for crypto markets, XRP has posted a notably bullish performance in September over the past several years.
According to historical data, XRP has ended September higher for four consecutive years, recording monthly gains of 46.2%, 0.42%, 7.98% and 2.49%, respectively.
XRP’s median return across its full trading history stands at 0.42%. The token’s recent strength has reinforced that positive historical pattern and could provide a foundation for another strong September in 2026.
Could XRP extend its September winning streak?
The potential continuation of this rally carries additional significance ahead of the key regulatory event scheduled for this autumn: the final U.S. Senate vote on the Clarity Act on Sept. 15, 2026. If passed, the bill would formally establish XRP’s status as a commodity at the federal level and remove the remaining regulatory uncertainty surrounding the token.
Expectations surrounding the vote have already helped drive a major trend reversal following an extended decline during the first half of the year. XRP fell 27.1% in the first quarter and another 22.4% in the second quarter.
The third quarter has marked a fundamental shift. By the end of August, XRP’s total Q3 return had reached 37%, well above the historical quarterly median of 27.9%. The move suggests that the prolonged phase of investor capitulation may be coming to an end.
XRP ETF inflows and XRPL activity support the rally
Several fundamental factors are also providing support, pointing to a sustained flow of capital into XRP. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded net inflows of $127.34 million in August, lifting cumulative net inflows to $1.64 billion. Total net assets under management reached $1.49 billion.
Network activity has remained strong as well. The XRP Ledger surpassed 5 billion transactions this week, while developers launched a security audit of the XRPL Lending Protocol V1.1.
If the current technical reversal coincides with a positive Senate decision on Sept. 15, XRP could extend its four-year bullish September streak. A successful monthly close would create a direct path into the fourth quarter, which has historically been the token’s most profitable period, with an average return of 133.3%.