[Data]Preliminary analysis of the effects of the opening of the “West Kyushu Shinkansen”

[Data]Preliminary analysis of the effects of the opening of the "West Kyushu Shinkansen"

On the 21st, Navitime Japan announced a preliminary analysis of the effects of the opening of the “West Kyushu Shinkansen”.

The transportation data business of Navitime Japan Co., Ltd. (President: Keisuke Onishi, Headquarters: Minato-ku, Tokyo) has released preliminary figures for the effect analysis associated with the opening of the “West Kyushu Shinkansen” on September 23, 2022 (Friday). We will announce it.

“West Kyushu Shinkansen” is the name of the route between Takeo Onsen and Nagasaki, which will open on September 23, 2022 (Friday), on the Kyushu Shinkansen West Kyushu Route (between Fukuoka City and Nagasaki City).

This analysis uses route search condition data (search history data) obtained with consent from route search services (“NAVITIME” and “Transfer NAVITIME” apps) provided by Navitime Japan.

  • Analyze content

1 Comparison of “destination station” when searching for a route with the starting station as Hakata station
2 Changes in the number of searches by means of transportation with each prefecture in Kyushu as the destination

Survey target:
One month after opening (Friday, September 23, 2022 to Saturday, October 22, 2022) and the same period in 2019 (Friday, September 27, 2019 to Saturday, October 26, 2019) was targeted for the route search specified on the moving date. In 2022, the future travel dates will be from September 1st (Thursday) to September 13th (Tuesday), 2022, and from September 5th (Thursday) to September 17th (Tuesday), 2019. It uses data that has been specified and searched for routes.

  • Analysis results

1 In addition to Nagasaki Station and Takeo Onsen Station, which are stops of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen, the number of searches for railway stations in Nagasaki Prefecture is also on the rise.

Based on the above survey targets, we aggregated the search results for “destination station” when Hakata Station is the departure station.
Compared with the number of searches in 2022, Shin-Osaka, which was the most frequently specified destination in 2019, had 1.0 times the number of searches compared to 2019, which is about the same as before the spread of the new coronavirus infection. The number of searches for “Nagasaki Station”, which is the starting and ending station of the Kyushu Shinkansen, has increased by about 4.5 times, and for “Takeo Onsen Station” has increased by about 4 times. In addition, searches for railway stations in Nagasaki Prefecture such as “Isahaya Station”, “Huis Ten Bosch Station”, and “Sasebo Station” have also increased by about 1.5 to 2 times, although they are not stops of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen. Based on the above results, it is expected that the opening of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen will attract visitors not only to areas along the line, but also to other areas in Nagasaki Prefecture, which will have an economic ripple effect.

2 “Public transportation” is on the rise across the board for searches targeting Kyushu prefectures

Comparing the results based on the above survey targets, it can be seen that searches for “public transportation” are increasing in each prefecture. This is also due to the lifting of movement restrictions, but in Nagasaki Prefecture, which is along the Nishikyushu Shinkansen line, the number has increased about twice. The above results suggest that with the opening of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen, there is expected to be a large demand for traveling mainly by public transportation, including the Shinkansen, when visiting areas along the line.

* Postscript on the same day: There was an error in the content, so I will correct it.

[Correction details]
(Incorrect) The number of searches for railway stations in Nagasaki Prefecture, such as Isahaya Station, Huis Ten Bosch Station, and Sasebo Station, which are not stops of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen, also increased by about 1.5 to 2 times.
(Correct) The number of searches for railway stations in Nagasaki Prefecture, such as “Huis Ten Bosch Station” and “Sasebo Station,” which are not stops of the Nishikyushu Shinkansen, also increased by about 1.5 times.

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